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Saracens v Newcastle Falcons prediction

Yuriy Borshchenko



MATCH DETAILS:
Location: St. Albans, Vicarage Road
Upcoming Information:English Premiership Rugby 10.05.2025
Competition: Saracens vs Newcastle Falcons live

When/Date: 10.05.2025
Time: 10:00 am
Repeat:Live
Prediction on Saracens – Newcastle Falcons: Available



Score, Highlights


Saracens 94.2% Draw 1.7% Newcastle Falcons 4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saracens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+94.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saracens’s performance.
  • Newcastle Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

    • Betting Odds

    1 X 2
    1.01 60 17
    1.01 50 41 Watch and Bet
    1.01 60 17

    Facts

  • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup and 10).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saracens won 4.
  • In recent matches, Saracens has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Newcastle Falcons has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
  • Saracens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Saracens is the obvious favorite.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saracens won 19 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 615:291. (average 30.8:14.6).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Saracens won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 301:128. (average 30.1:12.8).


    Standings

    2024/25

    Pl W D L Pts
    1 Bath 15 13 0 2 568:330 65
    2 Leicester Tigers 15 9 1 5 432:342 51
    3 Sale Sharks 15 10 0 5 424:358 48
    4 Bristol 15 8 0 7 520:499 47
    5 Gloucester 15 8 0 7 490:411 46
    6 Saracens 15 8 0 7 387:400 44
    7 Northampton Saints 15 7 0 8 420:408 38
    8 Harlequins 15 6 1 8 350:385 38
    9 Exeter Chiefs 15 3 0 12 313:460 21
    10 Newcastle Falcons 15 2 0 13 232:543 12



    Saracens AND Newcastle Falcons LAST MATCHES

    Latest Results

    25.04.25 Sale Sharks – Saracens FC – 25:7
    19.04.25 Saracens FC – Gloucester Rugby – 36:14
    05.04.25 RC Toulonnais – Saracens FC – 72:42
    30.03.25 Leicester Tigers – Saracens FC – 22:29
    22.03.25 Saracens FC – Harlequin FC – 12:23    		 26.04.25 Bath Rugby – Newcastle Falcons Rugby – 55:19
    18.04.25 Newcastle Falcons Rugby – Northampton Saints – 34:35
    29.03.25 Exeter Chiefs – Newcastle Falcons Rugby – 17:15
    21.03.25 Newcastle Falcons Rugby – Sale Sharks – 15:39
    07.03.25 Newcastle Falcons Rugby – Bath Rugby – 29:41

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