Saracens v Newcastle Falcons prediction

Yuriy Borshchenko
May 6, 2025
Comments: 0

MATCH DETAILS:
Location: St. Albans, Vicarage Road
Upcoming Information:English Premiership Rugby 10.05.2025
Competition: Saracens vs Newcastle Falcons live

When/Date: 10.05.2025
Time: 10:00 am
Repeat:Live
Prediction on Saracens – Newcastle Falcons: Available

Score, Highlights

Saracens 94.2%

Draw 1.7%

Newcastle Falcons 4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saracens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+94.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saracens’s performance.

Newcastle Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Betting Odds

1	X	2
1.01	60	17
1.01	50	41	Watch and Bet
1.01	60	17

Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saracens won 4.

In recent matches, Saracens has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Newcastle Falcons has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Saracens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Saracens is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saracens won 19 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 615:291. (average 30.8:14.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Saracens won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 301:128. (average 30.1:12.8).

Standings

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Bath	15	13	0	2	568:330	65
2	Leicester Tigers	15	9	1	5	432:342	51
3	Sale Sharks	15	10	0	5	424:358	48
4	Bristol	15	8	0	7	520:499	47
5	Gloucester	15	8	0	7	490:411	46
6	Saracens	15	8	0	7	387:400	44
7	Northampton Saints	15	7	0	8	420:408	38
8	Harlequins	15	6	1	8	350:385	38
9	Exeter Chiefs	15	3	0	12	313:460	21
10	Newcastle Falcons	15	2	0	13	232:543	12

Saracens AND Newcastle Falcons LAST MATCHES

Latest Results

25.04.25 Sale Sharks – Saracens FC – 25:7
19.04.25 Saracens FC – Gloucester Rugby – 36:14
05.04.25 RC Toulonnais – Saracens FC – 72:42
30.03.25 Leicester Tigers – Saracens FC – 22:29
22.03.25 Saracens FC – Harlequin FC – 12:23

26.04.25 Bath Rugby – Newcastle Falcons Rugby – 55:19
18.04.25 Newcastle Falcons Rugby – Northampton Saints – 34:35
29.03.25 Exeter Chiefs – Newcastle Falcons Rugby – 17:15
21.03.25 Newcastle Falcons Rugby – Sale Sharks – 15:39
07.03.25 Newcastle Falcons Rugby – Bath Rugby – 29:41

Saracens – Newcastle Falcons predictions and other English Premiership Rugby events on our partner.

https://premierleagueprediction.org/2025/05/04/ipswich-brentford-prediction/
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